Brazilian Serie A : Corinthians vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Mason OptiMetrics
8 days ago

Match: Brazilian Serie A

Fixture: Corinthians vs Cruzeiro

Local kick-off time: 19:30 on July 23 (UTC-3)

Venue: Arena Corinthians

Click here to watch the match LIVE now!  🔴   ▶

Click here to watch the match LIVE now!  🔴   ▶

Team Strength Overview:

As an established powerhouse in Brasileirão, Corinthians currently rank 10th in the league this season. The team has performed poorly recently, losing 2-0 to São Paulo in their last match, with a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games. The main reason for their low winning rate is their weak offensive capability. However, Corinthians defeated Cruzeiro 2-1 at home in their last head-to-head meeting, giving them a certain psychological advantage.

Away side Cruzeiro have emerged as a surprise package this season, currently topping the league table. They have remained unbeaten in 14 official matches, scoring 27 goals and conceding only 9, boasting an excellent defense. In the league, they have gone 7 wins and 2 draws in their last 9 rounds, remaining unbeaten. In their last match, they thrashed Juventude 4-0 at home, securing a 4-match winning streak while covering the spread in all games, with high morale and top form.

Handicap Prediction:

Cruzeiro +0 (Asian Handicap)

Draw + Away Win (European Odds)

Predicted scores: 1-2, 2-2, 2-3

Predicted goals: 3, 4, 5

Changes in Betting Data:

Major Asian bookmakers started with a level ball (0-goal) handicap for this match, showing no support for Corinthians, who have a good home record, which is favorable for the away team to deliver a good performance. Cruzeiro are currently on a 3-match league winning streak, averaging over 3 goals per game in these three matches, with their attack in form. Their defense is even more solid, conceding only 3 goals in their last 10 league matches. Corinthians have been inconsistent recently, with only 1 win in their last 6 matches and averaging less than 1 goal per game in their last 10 matches, with limited offensive capabilities but decent defense. Therefore, it's advisable to follow the handicap trend and back Cruzeiro to secure a draw or win away.

In terms of total goals, the initial line for this match was set at 2, and the odds currently show a growing trend of favoring the under. Considering the offensive performance of both teams this season, there is a suspicion that the line is being artificially heated. As a dark horse this season, Cruzeiro's attack has scored 27 goals in 15 league matches, averaging nearly 2 goals per game, which is convincing. Thus, it's highly promising that the total goals will exceed 2.

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