Match: Brazilian Cup
Fixture: Botafogo vs. Red Bull Bragantino
Local kick-off time: 19:00 on July 29
Venue: Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos
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Team Strength Overview:
Although Botafogo failed to go all the way in the FIFA Club World Cup, they have already proven their ability. Drawn in the same group as Paris Saint-Germain and Atlético Madrid, they still advanced with a record of 2 wins and 1 loss, only to be eliminated by fellow Brasileirão side Palmeiras. Back in the league, Botafogo have maintained their excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last 8 rounds with 5 wins and 3 draws. The impact of new head coach Davide Ancelotti has been immediate – he secured 7 points in his first three games in charge, maintaining strict discipline within the team while reinforcing the defensive setup. After 15 rounds, Botafogo have conceded just 8 goals, the second-lowest in the Brasileirão, boasting a rock-solid defense. They have been in red-hot form at home recently, with 7 wins and 3 draws in their last 10 home games across all competitions. Even though this is a Copa do Brasil match, the team will never let slip any chance to compete for a trophy.
Red Bull Bragantino currently sit fifth in the Brasileirão standings. They once ranked among the top three but have struggled of late, losing to Vitória, Flamengo, and Fortaleza while drawing with São Paulo in their last 4 games, showing a marked slump in form. They have also lost their last two away matches. Their attacking potency is mid-table in the league. Paraguayan foreign striker Pita, their top performer statistically, has bagged 5 goals and 1 assist in 14 league rounds, mostly coming off the bench. Local forward Sasha, the regular starter, has 3 goals and 1 assist in 16 rounds, with the team’s attack featuring a multi-scoring threat.
Handicap prediction:
Botafogo -1 (Asian Handicap)
Home win (European Odds)
Predicted scores: 2-1, 3-0, 3-1
Predicted total goals: 3, 4, 5
Changes in betting data:
The initial European odds were set at 1.63-3.75-5.00. The initial Asian handicap offered Botafogo -0.75 with extremely low odds for Botafogo. Currently, the European odds have slightly reduced the home win price. In terms of the Asian handicap, following the ultra-low odds for Botafogo -0.75, the line has been adjusted upwards to -1. Given Botafogo’s extremely high unbeaten rate this season, they are worthy of trust in this match.
For total goals, the initial line opened at 2.5, later dropping to 2.25, which is a recognition of Botafogo’s defensive performance this season. However, considering that this is a two-legged Copa do Brasil tie, both teams will prioritize establishing an early lead, so the total number of goals in this match is unlikely to be low.
